Predicting the 2028 Olympic men’s basketball roster

When Team USA men’s basketball next takes the court in the Olympics on home soil during the 2028 Los Angeles Games, the roster might have a very different look.

As accomplished as the star-studded group that won 98-87 over France in Paris was, it was also the oldest USA roster for any major international competition since FIBA allowed NBA players to participate beginning with the 1992 Barcelona Olympics — far older than the United States Dream Team that competed that year.

At 35, Larry Bird was the oldest member of the 1992 Olympic team. Three players on this year’s USA roster were older: MVPs LeBron James (39), Stephen Curry (36) and Kevin Durant (35, but turning 36 in September). Although we can’t rule any of the U.S. big three out for 2028, it’s unclear now whether they’ll still be playing in the NBA, let alone the Olympics.

With the chance to play for home fans, odds are USA Basketball will have its pick of the stars who are at the top of their games in 2028. Keeping that in mind, here’s one possible version of who might be part of the next Team USA Olympic roster.

Who might not be back

Beyond the three oldest players on the U.S. roster, Jrue Holiday and Derrick White seem unlikely to reprise their roles as defensive-minded guards. Holiday will be 38 by the time LA28 opens on July 14, while White will be 34 and was already a last-minute addition to the roster in his late prime. (From now on, all listed ages will be as of July 14, 2028.)

The two borderline cases are centers Anthony Davis and Joel Embiid — Davis will be 35 in 2028 and Embiid 34. Their tricky injury histories makes it tough to predict that either will be healthy when the 2028 Olympics rolls around but if they’re available, I think they’ll make the roster given their history with USA Basketball.

That leaves five spots to fill. At least one of the five players I’ve left off will likely be part of Team USA in 2028, but I wouldn’t give any of them better than 50-50 odds to be there.